Orbit: Crypto Community Feed

I don't recommend everyone to copy trades or ask me whether to go long or short Whether you listen to me or not, I hope you all can make money The choice is in your hands; I can't control your accounts Likewise, the positions I open are my own business Whether I lose or gain, I haven't taken anyone else's money It's all my own money I'm just an office worker, making about ten thousand yuan a month I can't compare to those big players Doing crypto is just a hobby I entered the circle in my early 20s, about 8 years ago From starting with funds, then the big A-share market Finally settling in crypto, exploring on my own, using VPNs to bypass firewalls Only one friend around me is into it, and I was the one who introduced him I like excitement; funds and the big A market don't satisfy me The volatility in crypto really excites me I’m happy when I earn, and I won’t blame anyone when I lose Everyone has their own ideas; I can't control anyone And I don't want anyone to influence me. If I trade, I just trade I can accept good advice, but whether to act on it is my business If these things affect others' mindset or even lead to cursing others to get liquidated I think that's a matter of mindset I can't do that. Whether your positions are reasonable or not I hope you can make money

#This week's FOMC announcement: Will the rate hike be implemented? I believe the Federal Reserve is very likely to announce a 25 basis point rate hike this week. Before the policy is implemented, the market will maintain a weak oscillating trend, but the day the boot drops will be the time when the crypto market's phase of negative sentiment is exhausted and a defensive rebound begins. Facing policy pressure, $BTC and $ETH will have significantly stronger risk resistance compared to other coins. August's nonfarm employment data far exceeded expectations, and the subsequently released CPI data rose again to 3.4%, indicating core inflationary pressure has reignited. At the Jackson Hole Annual Meeting, Powell reiterated that "inflation is a choice," and his hawkish stance directly shattered the market's wait-and-see sentiment. Currently, the CME rate hike probability stands at 85.9%. Everyone should still focus on the FOMC rate decision at 02:00 AM Beijing time on September 17 (Thursday) and the press conference at 02:30 AM. Of course, before that, there is a key procedural vote on the "CLARITY Act" at 02:15 AM on September 16 (Wednesday). Everyone should still control their positions, avoid blindly going all-in, and try to focus mainly on BTC and ETH.

Q: You emphasize "I'd rather do nothing than make a mistake," but recently you have been trading BTC with 40x leverage. What conditions usually need to be met simultaneously for you to choose to open a position? How do you control position size and stop loss under high leverage? The most important step in trading is not opening or closing a position, but waiting. You can't be impatient; this is something many people fail at. You have to control your hands and avoid emotions like at a gambling table, such as: "I'm definitely winning this round," or "My stop loss was hit, but the market reversed, so I have to chase in quickly or I'll miss out..." and so on. You need to understand that missing a market move means your money is still there, but making a wrong move means losing money. Be like a crocodile—stay still in the water for a whole month waiting for prey. When the prey appears, strike quickly and kill it. If the hunt fails, the crocodile goes back hungry into the water, quietly lurking and waiting for the next opportunity. Unlike crocodiles, every failed strike you make costs you money. So think about it: how many failures can your capital afford? A piece of advice for beginners or confused traders: open fewer trades and watch more. This way, you train yourself and develop a good habit. Master this step before thinking about anything else. Alright, since I was officially invited to answer, that's all I'll say. #交易之声：你的经验值得被听到

Account halved 5 times, recovered 4 times, reviewing during the fifth recovery Yesterday's profit: -700U Current assets: 2100U $BTC $ETH $SNDK Currently, position control is still weak. Although the number of trades has been significantly reduced and the overall win rate is higher than before, the issue with position control leads to losses far exceeding profits. A 10% gain on 100 is 110, but a 10% loss on 110 is 99. Position control and the emotional struggle under high leverage greatly affect operations. The Bitcoin purchased on Friday cost 76400, with profits once reaching 2000U, but due to greed, the take-profit was delayed and always held onto illusions, ultimately triggering stop-loss and exiting during the weekend's drop. Floating profit went from 2000U to 0. At the same time, I should strengthen my information gathering. I was extremely optimistic about SanDisk before, even completely ignoring recent AI news, which led to blindly bottom-fishing and causing significant losses. Investing is indeed a game where a few make money, but adapting to the public's sentiment in the short term is also important. I currently see no clear direction and can only review and accumulate experience as much as possible, turning what seems like gambling into something rational. The most important point is to stay in the market to talk about the future, especially under high leverage. Timely stop-loss and cutting losses is very important.🫠

Solana $SOL has recently been like an energetic young person, with its price hovering around $100 within 24 hours, sometimes rising about 2%, sometimes falling along with the broader market. DEX trading volume often ranks among the top, reaching billions of dollars in the past day, indicating that on-chain real usage is still ongoing. In terms of ecosystem, meme coins, DeFi, and NFTs remain lively, although the heat has cooled compared to the peak period, new projects and user growth have not stopped. Technically, $100 has become a psychological threshold; holding above it leaves room for a rebound, while breaking below may test lower support levels. Funding rates are sometimes neutral or slightly bearish, showing that speculative traders are cautious. Under macro pressure, $SOL, as a high-beta asset, experiences greater volatility, but this also means more resilience during rebounds. In the past few days, it followed the weekend altcoin rally to surge, then gave back some gains. From personal observation, Solana’s advantage lies in speed and cost, which is very competitive in RWA and high-frequency trading scenarios. If there are major ecosystem updates or institutional adoption news coming up, it can easily become the focus again. In these 24 hours, it has shown a neutral to slightly weak performance, but the underlying vitality remains. For traders who like high volatility, SOL is always a "speed king" worth watching. Patiently waiting for a clear direction is wiser than blindly chasing highs or selling lows. #OKX星球话题来啦 #星球日报

Goldman Sachs maintains an optimistic stance on gold prices, and personally, I am also quite bullish. Although it does not yield interest, the market won't end so quickly; everything depends on oil. They believe the net upside risk is greater, with increased bidirectional volatility in the path. Their judgment is based on the assumption that central banks purchase about 50 tons of gold annually, approximately 40 tons monthly by 2027, combined with a recovery in private ETF demand, assuming the Federal Reserve holds rates steady in 2026. In the medium term, geopolitical tensions drive diversification, with the risk skew for gold prices tilted upward. If the Fed turns to raising rates, gold prices will face correction pressure but may still remain above current levels. The downside is supported by central bank buying, making the bottom more solid than in previous cycles, with central banks becoming a substantial price support. Risk Warning Attention is needed on: Fed rate hikes triggering hedge unwinding and ETF sell-offs, causing gold price corrections; slowing central bank gold purchase pace weakening support; easing geopolitical tensions reducing diversification demand; the dollar and real interest rates rising beyond expectations, suppressing non-yielding assets; option position reversals amplifying volatility. Any significant movement in these variables will alter the medium-term path of gold prices. The bullish logic depends on uninterrupted central bank buying and ETF inflows; if interrupted, optimistic assessments need to be repriced. $XAU #本周FOMC揭晓，加息能否落地？

$BTC $ETH Bitcoin is oscillating back and forth between 76300 and 77500 again, going up and down intermittently. Those holding long positions are probably having a hard time, while short-term traders got shaken out repeatedly on Friday. The current lowest pullback is at 75800, with a high of 79800. It's already unclear whether bulls or bears are in control, but bears still hold the advantage for now, keeping it suppressed and oscillating at the bottom. There have been too many false breakouts on Bitcoin, so you can't rely on breakouts to go long—too risky. Is 75800 the bottom? Brothers. #本周FOMC揭晓，加息能否落地？ #BTC现货ETF三日流出近4.5亿美元

WAY Review｜I guessed CPI would cause a shakeout, but still lost $600 overnight The most painful part wasn’t completely getting the direction wrong, but thinking I had already reduced the risk. Before the CPI release, I roughly knew the market might spike up then drop, or first drop sharply then pull back. I kept feeling the market wouldn’t let short positions be so comfortable; there might be a fake breakout again, pushing everyone’s greed and fear to the max before finally moving in the real direction. Later, when LIT hit a high then fell back, I thought the opportunity had come and opened a 7x long position at 5.026. I used to open 20x or 30x positions easily, so at that time I really thought: "Only 7x, I should be able to hold on, right?" But I still entered too early. After enduring the whole night, the price kept falling, and I lost about $600 overnight. Watching the money disappear like that was really painful. After calming down and recalculating, I had set my stop loss at 4.38, about 12.8% away from the entry price; multiplied by 7x leverage, the impact on this margin was still close to 90%. That’s when I realized: lowering leverage doesn’t mean the risk truly decreases. What really determines how much you lose is position size, stop loss distance, and entry timing. The biggest problem this time wasn’t whether I had a stop loss, but that the market hadn’t confirmed direction yet, and I felt safe just because I "only used 7x leverage." Have you ever felt your leverage wasn’t high, but still lost painfully on a single trade? The above is a personal trading review and does not constitute investment advice. $LIT #CPI #TradingReview #RiskManagement

$ZEC $ZEC $ZEC Attention to ZEC trapped positions!!!⚠️⚠️⚠️ The prediction analysis from 10 PM last night is proving correct with the current pullback. The minor correction reached a high of 1118.56; I mentioned 1120 as a shorting opportunity. Last night I said the 4-hour chart was bearish. Although it broke the previous low, it hasn't held below it. Currently, the 1-hour chart shows a bullish pattern emerging. Do not short in the short term; wait for a pullback to the 1-hour FVG to look for long opportunities. This correction might, might, might fill the previous high near 1299. Ultimate advice ⚠️⚠️ Yes, I'll give exact levels! Long entry points: 1076-1103 (look for bullish patterns on smaller timeframes within this range), stop loss at 1040, take profit is up to you. At least capture 100 points!!! The FVG will definitely be filled today!!!

$LIT Teachers can almost start setting up short positions now If the upward momentum is weak, it should go down There is significant floating profit on long positions below, but not many shorts above The old big players might take advantage of this to raise the price and sell off, first pumping the market to attract retail investors to chase longs Then gradually sell off at high points, followed by dumping the price Currently, this kind of trend is very likely a pump-and-dump Simply put, the pump won't go too high You can set up short positions at any time ⚠️ If chasing longs, set stop losses properly! ⚠️ When opening shorts, control your position size! Small-cap coins have short-term surge risks! Personal opinion, for reference only